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Donald Kirk

Donald Kirk has been covering Korean Peninsula issues for decades.

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Donald Kirk

Role models for North Korea

By Donald Kirk U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has compounded the debacle of his weekend in Pyongyang by a plea that North Korea partake of the same “once unimaginable prosperity and partnership we have with Vietnam today.”Pompeo, on a tour that took him from Pyongyang to Tokyo to Hanoi to Kabul and Abu Dhabi before winding up with President Trump at the NATO summit in Brussels, overlooked history. Vietnam emerged as a united country after Communist forces from “North” Vietnam defeated the U.S.-backed “South” Vietnam regime in April 1975. Was he suggesting that maybe North Korea could emerge as a great country if the North Koreans overran South Korea and united Korea under Kim dynasty rule?Obviously not, but the reference to U.S. ties to the Communist government in Hanoi was more than a little disturbing to those who lived through the terrible Vietnam War. Vietnam, under Communist rule, did not reform economically for more than a decade after the victory of the forces from the North. Under Communist rule, Vietnam is still repressive, closed to

Jul 12, 2018By Donald Kirk
Role models for North Korea
Donald Kirk

US versus the world

By Donald KirkThe U.S. is fighting everyone, it seems. Not in shooting wars, more or less limited these days to off-and-on skirmishes in the Middle East, but in trade wars that could erupt eventually into the shooting kind.Listening to the news, one gets the impression there's no major country with which President Trump is happy when it comes to the U.S. balance of trade. That's understandable on both sides. U.S. trading partners are upset by the tariffs Trump is imposing. Trump is upset by extraordinary trade imbalances, none so unbelievably enormous as the $400 billion surplus China reaps from exports to the U.S.It's extremely difficult to sort out who's in the right. Probably there are instances in which the U.S. can make a good case, others in which traditional trading partners and allies are right in claiming Trump and his advisers are being unfair. If there is one thing I would really not want to have to do, it's sorting out the rights and wrongs of the trade war. If it worsens, though, such friction can spiral out of control. In the worst-case scenario, it can break apart alli

Jul 5, 2018By Donald Kirk
US versus the world
Donald Kirk

Time of transition for US forces

By Donald Kirk The U.S. Forces Korea (USFK) is going through agonizing changes. Cancellation of joint U.S.-South Korean war games is not the only sign of the shifting U.S. military role.The USFK and the United Nations Command have just staged a colorful ceremony at Camp Humphreys, an expanding base that now accommodates 30,000 people, including troops, their families and civilian employees. The ceremony Friday marked "the grand opening" of the new USFK/UNC headquarters, which moved to Humphreys from the historic Yongsan base that was built for the Japanese who lorded it over Korea until Japan's surrender on Aug. 15, 1945. Some of the old red brick Japanese structures are still standing ― vestiges of an era not forgotten but little remembered.General Vincent Brooks, commander of USFK /UNC, called the occasion "an historic milestone" and the UN Command, including all 16 countries that participated in the Korean War, "living proof of the American commitment to the alliance" in defense of South Korea. The UN Command, he said, remains "the home for the international commitment with the ma

Jun 28, 2018By Donald Kirk
Time of transition for US forces
Donald Kirk

'The more things change…'

By Donald Kirk The most obvious lesson of the Singapore summit is that “complete denuclearization” is mission impossible. The North Koreans since then haven't used the “n” word ― “n” for nuclear ― while talking in generalities about the need to respect everyone's “sovereignty” along with the statement signed by President Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un on June 12 and the Panmunjeom Declaration of April 27, signed by President Moon Jae-in and Kim.Yes, they all called for “complete denuclearization,” but North Korea has not done a thing to make that happen. The North Koreans clearly have a very different view of “denuclearization” from that of Trump and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who has insisted that it's just another word for “CVID,” complete, verifiable, irreversible denuclearization. They are claiming that they have already shown good faith by blowing up the nuclear test site at Punggye-ri, and they are attaching demands all to make sure North Korea remains a nuclear power, as enshrined in the cou

Jun 21, 2018By Donald Kirk
'The more things change…'
Donald Kirk

Showing off at the summit

By Donald Kirk SINGAPORE ― Style triumphed over substance in a summit of imagery and optics that left you wondering, why did they bother?President Trump sought to justify the whole performance as an exercise that was “as good for the U.S. as for North Korea,” but the joint statement that he and Kim Jong-un signed for all the world to see on TV contained no real promises or commitments, no guarantees, nothing that much changed the state of play between the two Koreas.If Trump during his presidential campaign said that he would like to sit down with Kim for a hamburger, he and Kim appeared instead to have shared a nothing-burger. There was really nothing in the statement on which to chew, to digest, to savor, that would change the dynamics on the Korean peninsula for the better.Perhaps the most remarkable aspect of the statement was what it did not say. It neglected to mention CVID, complete, verifiable, irreversible denuclearization, the term the Americans have been using for years to say what North Korea must do about its nuclear program. That omission in itself represen

Jun 14, 2018By Donald Kirk
Showing off at the summit
Donald Kirk

Covering Kim's bills in Singapore

By Donald Kirk The most controversial topic surrounding next Tuesday's Trump-Kim summit is probably not denuclearization or human rights. We already can be pretty sure those two bozos can talk their way around the nuclear issue with some vague declaration that all comes down to agreeing “Nukes Are Bad, Make Peace, not War.” As for human rights, that's not gonna come up in the talks. The Trumpster doesn't want to spoil the mood by upsetting the Kimster too much with a topic everyone knows will go nowhere and might ruin Kim's appetite for pizza-with-everything before they ever get around to their say-nothing, mean-nothing final statement or “peace agreement.”Okay, in the interests of attempting to be a little funny, it would be easy to say they'll compare hairstyles, exchange notes on hairdressers, perhaps offer each other some sage advice about the best hair dressing or shampoo treatment or some kind of scalp massage. Just kidding, just kidding!Okay, okay, now let's get serious. We're talking here about one of the most highly anticipated meetings between two n

Jun 7, 2018By Donald Kirk
Covering Kim's bills in Singapore
Donald Kirk

Racing to the summit

By Donald KirkIt does look like Singapore is on again. You can't have so many emissaries going back and forth, between Pyongyang and New York, between Washington and Singapore, between Pyongyang and Singapore, between Manila and Panmunjeom, without thinking these guys are serious, something's up. What, between Manila and Panmunjeom? What's that all about? Oh yes, Sung Kim, remember him? He was U.S. ambassador to Korea for three years during the Obama administration, and before that, he was the chief negotiator responsible for dealing with the North Koreans. Tough job. It need hardly be said he got nowhere. In fact, between 2006 and last September, they conducted six nuclear tests. Sung Kim has got to know all about confronting the North Koreans. He's faced not only vice foreign minister Kim Kye-gwan but also assistant foreign minister Choe Son-hui. Those were the authors of the nasty statements that got Trump so riled up that he cancelled the Singapore summit last week. Then, a day later, he thanked Kim Kye-gwan for his “gracious” note in which Kim practically begged him

May 31, 2018By Donald Kirk
Racing to the summit
Donald Kirk

Gambling on summit

By Donald KirkIt is time now to calculate the odds on whether President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un meet up even if not quite as scheduled on June 12 in Singapore.I've heard just about everything ― from 99 to 1 in favor to 99 to 1 against ― so often that I personally am not going to bet on anything. If absolutely compelled, however, I would say the chances are better than even that they will get together.What makes me feel this way? At the risk of being proven wrong very soon, my gut feeling is they need each other. Trump has to get out of Washington, straddle the global stage and say, look at me, I'm taking care of business where all those presidents before me got nowhere. As for Kim, he not only has to cast off the yoke of sanctions, which people like to say are not doing all that much but clearly are making him uncomfortable, and also get out from under Chinese domination.How's that again? Might Kim really turn to Trump for some measure of support in order to escape the heavy hand of Chinese President Xi Jinping?Actually, that's not that a far-out theory. Nort

May 24, 2018By Donald Kirk
Gambling on summit
Donald Kirk

Kim's game of smoke and mirrors

By Donald KirkIt's not enough that North Korea should abruptly cancel South-North talks on military tensions and another long-awaited round of reunions of fast-fading families divided by the 1950-53 Korean War. Now we're not even sure Kim Jong-un will go through with his summit with U.S. President Donald Trump.It's hard to tell what will happen next in the era of fake news. Or, if fake news is a bit of a distortion, then misleading news. The most misleading story on the near horizon is the shutdown of North Korea's nuclear test site at Punggye-ri. Next week we'll witness, live on TV, destruction of the site in the mountainous northeast as evidence of Kim's willingness to talk about giving up his nuclear program when or if he sees Trump in Singapore on June 12.The Punggye-ri site was already largely destroyed over the course of six nuclear tests, climaxed last September by the explosion of a hydrogen bomb. That blast caved in portions of the mountain into which North Korean engineers had planted it. Journalists invited to the scene should hear explosions blowing up some of the remaini

May 17, 2018By Donald Kirk
Kim's game of smoke and mirrors
Donald Kirk

Trump, Iran and North Korea

By Donald Kirk There is nothing like a meeting with a dictator to get out of problems at home. The visit of U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo to Pyongyang, just as President Donald Trump was jettisoning the Iran deal, shows Trump's eagerness to sit down with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un and come up with a statesman-like solution to the confrontation on the Korean Peninsula.Assuming Trump really does see Kim, could there be any better way to distract attention from all the problems besetting him in Washington? For a few blessed days, maybe more, he would be free of the threat of interrogation by special counsel Robert Mueller and all the questions about his lawyer Michael Cohen.He might not even have to worry about the next headlines, and salacious jokes, about the porn star Stormy Daniels and seances with Russian women while getting to know President Vladimir Putin. All that happened before he ran for president, but his past is catching up with him just as he would like to be “making America great again.”With Trump in the same room with Kim, all they need is to escap

May 10, 2018By Donald Kirk
Trump, Iran and North Korea
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