Real growth expected to fall below potential
By Kang Seung-woo Korea’s real economic growth is forecast to fall short of its potential next year due to the global economic slowdown, three private think tanks said Wednesday. As a result, there will be little room for the central bank to raise its key interest rate. According to Samsung, LG and Hyundai economic research institutes, the nation’s economy has shown a fast-paced recovery since the global financial crisis, but the slumping world economy, sparked by advanced countries’ debt crises, will put its inflation-adjusted gross domestic product (GDP) below its potential growth rate. The Samsung Economic Research Institute (SERI) estimated that economic growth for next year will be 3.6 percent, compared with a 3.8 percent potential. It said the GDP gap, which denotes the difference between potential and actual output, would be negative at 7.7 trillion won ($6.69 billion) next year, down from 2010’s 5.9 trillion won. A positive GDP gap, where the actual amount exceeds the potential GDP, is called an inflationary gap and indicates the growth of aggregate demand i
