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Sun, August 14, 2022 | 12:12
-------------------------
Ban testing water for presidency
"반기문, 대선출마 유력"
Posted : 2015-02-01 16:38
Updated : 2015-02-01 21:53
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U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon
U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon

'Everyone close to him convinced he will run,' senior UN official says


By Jung Min-ho


U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon is testing the water to decide whether to run for the presidency in 2017, a source at the U.N. said Sunday.

"Everyone close to him is convinced that he will run for president," a high-ranking U.N. official, who refused to be named, told The Korea Times.

Kim Won-soo, a trusted advisor from Ban's days at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, is leading exploratory efforts, shuttling to and from Seoul, he said.

The official said that Kim spent more time in Seoul recently after speculation over Ban's potential candidacy began last year.

"It's almost impossible he won't (run)," said the official. "Do you think after retirement he will come back to Korea and do nothing?"

Yet the risk of entering Korean politics as a former U.N. chief is great, said the source.

"Secretary General Ban is one of the world's leaders," said the official. "If he loses, the new president is not going to send him as an ambassador to Washington D.C. because he wouldn't take such a job."

Ban may find Saenuri attractive
2015-02-01 16:48  |  National

The source added that Ban's ambitious aides in overseas and domestic politics are expected to affect his decision.

Ban's second five-year term as U.N. chief is scheduled to end in December 2016.

After his name made headlines here regarding a potential bid for the presidency, Ban's office said in November the rumors that he might stand to become head of state were unfounded, and that such speculation could hamper his role as an impartial international leader.

Yet he did not clarify whether he would run for the Korean presidency.

Former heads of the U.N. often become powerful figures in domestic politics after gaining international recognition.

After serving as the fourth U.N. secretary general from 1972 to 1981, Kurt Waldheim was elected as president of Austria and was in office from 1986 to 1992. Boutros Boutros Ghali, the sixth U.N. secretary general, also quickly emerged as a presidential aspirant in 2011, when Egypt was in turmoil in the aftermath of the ousting of strongman Hosni Mubarak.

A survey conducted in December by local pollster Ace Research & Consulting Group showed that support for Ban was 38.7 percent, far ahead of his potential rivals Rep. Moon Jae-in of the main opposition New Politics Alliance for Democracy (NPAD) with 9.8 percent, and Seoul Mayor Park Won-soon with 7.4 percent.

Without Ban, Park showed the highest level of support with 13.9 percent, followed by Moon (13.1 percent) and ruling Saenuri Party Chairman Kim Moo-sung (8.7 percent).

Lawmakers from both the ruling and main opposition parties have publicly discussed seeking Ban as their candidate, saying that his political orientation is more in sync with their policies.

Some experts say that people's distrust of established politicians may be expressed in an outpouring of support for Ban, who has accumulated valuable experience by mediating various international conflicts as U.N. chief.

They say there is high public expectation of his potential ability to mitigate the nation's deep-seated strife with neighboring countries, including North Korea.




"반기문, 대선출마 유력"

반기문 유엔 사무총장의 대선출마가 유력한 것으로 보인다.

익명을 요청한 UN 고위 관계자는 '그와 가까운 모든 사람들은 그가 대선에 나설 것으로 확신하고 있다'고 코리아타임스에 전했다.

관계자는 반 사무총장의 '오른팔' 김원수 유엔 사무총장 특별보좌관이 반총장의 대세론 이후 서울에서 보내는 시간이 늘어났다고도 말했다.

관계자는 반 사무총장이 출마하지 않는 것이 '거의 불가능하지 않겠냐'면서 반 사무총장이 '은퇴 후 한국으로 돌아와 아무것도 하지 않을 거라고 생각하느냐?'고 되물었다.

관계자는 또, 전 UN 총장으로서 국내 정치에 뛰어드는 것이 굉장히 위험부담이 큰 일이라면서 '대통령이 아닌 다른 직책을 맡기는 어려울 것'이라고 말했다.

반 사무총장의 임기는 2016년 12월31일 까지다.

유엔 총장이 임기를 마치고 대권에 도전한 사례는 드물지 않다. 유엔 4대 사무 총장 쿠르트 발트하임은 지난 1972년부터 1981년까지의 임기를 마치고, 높은 인지도를 바탕으로 1986년 대선에 도전해 오스트리아 대통령에 당선됐다. 6대 사무총장인 부트로스 부트로스 갈리도 퇴임 이후 대권 후보로 떠오른 바 있다.

서울신문이 여론조사 전문기관인 에이스리서치와 지난해 12월 26~28일 전국 성인남녀 1천10명을 대상으로 벌인 여론조사에서 2017년 대선후보 선호도에서 반 사무총장은 38.7%를 기록, 압도적 지지를 얻었다.

새정치민주연합 문재인 의원(9.8%), 박원순 서울시장 (7.4%), 새누리당 김문수 보수혁신특별위원장 (4.2%), 새누리당 김무성 대표(4.0%), 새정치연합 안철수 전 공동대표 (3.8%) 등이 뒤를 이었지만 반 사무총장과는 큰 격차를 보였다.
Emailmj6c2@ktimes.co.kr Article ListMore articles by this reporter
 
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