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Wed, August 17, 2022 | 06:42
'NK may act out in next 3 months'
김관진 "北, 내년 1월 하순~3월 초순 도발 가능성"
Posted : 2013-12-17 17:40
Updated : 2013-12-17 17:40
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By Chung Min-uck

Defense Minister Kim Kwan-jin said Tuesday that growing instability in North Korea following last week's execution of the once-powerful Jang Song-thaek, the uncle of North Korean leader Kim Jong-un, could push the communist country to act out and stage military provocations.

"There is a high probability of the North launching various kinds of provocations between late January and early March," ministry spokesman Kim Min-seok quoted him as saying during a video conference with military commanders. "We have to prepare for both provocations and an all-out battle to strike back against the commanding forces of the North."

The minister further stated that the "terror politics" of Jang's execution can only temporarily unite the internal forces in the North and that the instability to come could push military hardliners to seek outside provocations to maintain their power.

Jang's execution is viewed by observers here as a sign of the hard-line military faction seizing control in the North.

"Jang's execution could serve as a major turning point for North Korea, 68 years since the regime's establishment," Minister Kim said. "North Korea's reign of terror will not be able to last for long."

In the face of a mounting sense of crisis, bipartisan lawmakers also said North Korea is showing signs that it might soon conduct a fourth nuclear test.

"Signs indicate that North Korea is preparing to carry out a fourth test and another long-range rocket launch," said Rep. Cho Won-jin of the ruling Saenuri Party, who is also the chair of the National Assembly Intelligence Committee, during a party meeting. "The nation is trying to divert domestic attention from Jang's execution to external issues."

Cho provided no further specifics.

Rep. Park Jie-won, a veteran lawmaker of the main opposition Democratic Party (DP) who previously visited the North as a delegation head, echoed Cho's view, saying that after the purge of Jang, military officials in the Stalinist regime have taken center stage and they might carry out military provocations against the South to show off their might to the people.

"Options surely include a fourth nuclear test, which is really worrisome," said Park.

Last month, Vice Defense Minister Baek Seung-joo told an Assembly meeting that North Korea was getting ready to conduct a test at its Punggye-ri site in the country's northeast, though there were no signs of an imminent one.

North Korea has conducted three nuclear tests so far, the first in 2006, the second in 2009 and the third in February this year under the Kim Jong-un regime. Pyongyang has also carried out a series of long-range rocket launches — the last being in December 2012.




김관진 "北, 내년 1월 하순~3월 초순 도발 가능성"

'장성택 처형으로 북한 내부 불안 가중될 것'

 

김관진 국방부 장관은 17일 '내년 1월 하순에서 3월 초순 사이에 북한이 도발할 가능성이 크다'고 밝혔다.

김 장관은 이날 오전 전군 주요지휘관 화상회의에서 '우리 군은 북한이 도발하면 곧바로 가차없이 응징할 수 있도록 시스템을 점검하고 일전 불사의 장병 정신교육을 강화해야 한다'고 밝혔다고 김민석 국방부 대변인이 정례브리핑을 통해 전했다.

김 장관은 '국지도발과 전면전 위협에 동시에 대비하면서 적이 도발하면 지휘 및 지원세력까지 강력하게 응징해서 도발 의지를 완전히 분쇄하도록 해야 한다'고 강조했다.

그는 '장성택 처형은 북한 정권 수립 68년 만에 있는 주요 전환점이 될 수 있을 것'이라며 '장성택 처형은 북한의 유일 체제를 공고화하기 위한 것으로서 일시적으로는 북한 내부가 강화될 수 있겠지만 좀 더 시간이 지나면 민심이 이반되고, 정권 불신이 커지기 때문에 내부 불안이 가중될 수밖에 없을 것'이라고 진단했다.

김 장관은 '현재 이뤄지는 북한의 철권 공포정치는 계속 갈 수 없을 것'이라며 '북한 내부의 불안요소와 군부의 과도한 충성 경쟁으로 인한 오판이 있을 수 있고, 그에 따라 다양한 형태의 도발이 있을 수 있다'고 철저히 대비태세 유지를 당부했다.
Emailmuchung@koreatimes.co.kr Article ListMore articles by this reporter
 
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