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2012-03-11 19:13

Insurance ‘big bang‘ in Korea



M&As, Hyundai’s entry to change hierarchy in insurance

By Kim Jae-kyoung

The insurance industry is considered one of the most conservative sectors as it is hard to see a change both in market share and customer transfer. Over the past two decades, the so-called big three life insurers ― Samsung, Korea and Kyobo ― have dominated the domestic market, giving little leeway for other players to share the pie.

The deep-rooted oligopoly is highly expected to hang on for a while but 2012 is likely to be the beginning of a long-awaited industry change that will lead to a breakdown of the structure.

First of all, the industry is seeing a wave of mergers and acquisitions (M&As) coming. A couple of mid-sized insurers, including ING Life Korea and Tongyang Life, have been up for sale. Besides, Hyundai Motor Group’s entry into the industry and the launch of NH Nonghyup Life are likely to combine to speed up the transformation.

In the big picture, there are two external factors that will accelerate the upcoming change in the market. First, major financial groups, such as KB and Woori, are striving to enhance their non-banking sector to balance their business portfolios. Second, Hyunda Motor is looking to strengthen its financial business as a new growth engine.

“Over the past 15 years, the big three have ruled the local insurance market. I think this will change in the coming decade and this year is the beginning of it,” Lee Won-seok, a partner at the Boston Consulting Group, told Business Focus.

“In five to seven years, I expect that two more players will join the league of majors providing services from A to Z through multi channels, while small players will be specialized in offering customized products,” he added.

In the first three quarters of the 2011 fiscal year, Samsung is led the industry with a market share of 26.8 percent in insurance premium, followed by Korea with 13.6 percent and Kyobo with 11.3 percent, according to the Korea Life Insurance Association. ING Life, Mirae Asset and Shinhan are competing for the fourth place with around 4 to 5 percent.

KB Chairman eager to buy ING Korea

Market participants are now paying close attention to how ongoing sales of ING Life’s Asia-Pacific operations and Tongyang Life will unfold as the outcome will change the pecking order of the industry.

ING Group, the Netherlands-headquartered financial group, has expresses its willingness to offload its Asian operations, in a move to pay back the 2008 bailout it received from the Dutch government amid lingering uncertainties surrounding the global economy.

But it has yet to decide whether or not to sell its three Asian insurance joint ventures separately from its other Asia assets. ING has operations in seven Asian markets ― China, Hong Kong, India, Japan, Malaysia, South Korea and Thailand. It has insurance joint ventures in China, India and Korea.

At the end of last year, ING valued its Asia-Pacific insurance operations at 5.8 billion euros ($7.63 billion), according to an analyst presentation on ING’s website. With equity capital of 2.6 trillion won, ING Asia-Pacific operations posted pre-tax profits of 700 billion won in 2010.

A number of big financial groups and insurance giants both at home and abroad are expressing intention to take over the operations and are waiting for details of sales from ING.

KB Financial Group, the nation’s second-largest banking group by assets, is one of the strongest candidates as its chairman Euh Yoon-dae is keen on taking over the Korean unit of the Dutch group.

“In early April, ING will issue an information memorandum (IM) regarding the sale of ING Asia-Pacific operations. We will look into details once it is offered. The biggest issue is price,” Euh said in a phone interview with Business Focus.

“Of course, we are interested in ING Life Korea. If the Dutch group decides to sell its Korean operation separately from other assets, we will join the bidding as a single bidder. If they sell its entire Asia operations as a package, we will seek to form a consortium as we have no financial capabilities to buy all of them,” he added.

Major life insurers Samsung and Korea have also shown interest in the Dutch group’s Asia operations but for different reasons. They seek to gain strong foothold in Asian markets through the takeover.

“It is too early to comment because details of the sale have yet to be revealed. However, one thing obvious is that we are not interested in the Korean unit but in other Asian operations for overseas expansion,” said a source from Samsung Life said on condition of anonymity.

In a public disclosure in February, Korea Life said, “We are studying the feasibility of the deal and a follow-up disclosure will be made once a decision is made within a month.”

Among foreign life insurers, AIA Group is considered a potential candidate to participate in the bidding, given its strength in Asia and keen interest in the Korean market. The insurer still sees Korea as the underpenetrated market compared to Western markets and is looking for chances in the protection area ― life and medical.

“I think ING Asia-Pacific operations are a good fit for AIA Group, considering its financial capabilities and strategies,” a source close the company said, asking not to be named. The group has been focusing only on Asia for more than 90 years and it made a successful initial public offering in Hong Kong in 2010.

Tongyang Life, with a market share of 4.4 percent, is also up for sale and the bidding process is underway. In a preliminary bidding in January, five companies, including Korea Life and Prudential, the No. 2 insurance firm in the United States, participated in the bidding, according to a source close to the deal. The source said that Korea and Prudential have been selected as prime bidders and are in the middle of due diligence on Tongyang.

Vogo Fund, the largest shareholder of Tongyang with a 60.7 percent stake, is expected to wrap up the sale in the first half. Since it is a private deal, it is likely that the deal will proceed under the following processes ― selection of prime bidders, due diligence, primary bidding and selection of a preferred bidder.

When asked about the process and schedule of the deal, Vogo Fund president Byeon Yang-ho neither confirmed nor denied any speculations. “This is a private deal. There is nothing I can comment at this moment,” he said via the phone.

Hyundai aims to join the big three

Hyundai Motor Group’s foray into the insurance market is expected to have a limited impact on the insurance market but it is highly likely to emerge as a game changer in the long term as the nation’s leading conglomerate is gearing up to strengthen its financial business.

Hyundai Motor recently took over a 90.6 percent stake of Green Cross, the nation’s 17th largest life insurer, through the group's two affiliates ― Hyundai Mobis and Hyundai Commercial ― and changed its name to Hyundai Life on March 5. With the takeover, Hyundai has an extended range of financial units ― Hyundai Card, Hyundai Capital, HMC Investment Securities and Hyundai Commercial.

There are two reasons why market watchers take the Hyundai’s move seriously. First, it is in line with the group’s long-term strategy to enhance the financial business lineup. Second, Hyundai Card CEO Ted Chung has spearheaded the acquisition. He is the chairman of Hyundai Life’s board of directors.

According to a Hyundai executive, Chung, who is a son-in-law of Hyundai Motor Group Chairman Chung Mong-koo and also holds the post of Hyundai Capital CEO, proposed the idea and persuaded the chairman to purchase Green Cross. Since he took the helm of Hyundai Card in 2003, the firm’s market share surged to 16.3 percent in 2011 from the mere 3-percent level.

“The takeover of Green Cross is in line with Hyundai Motor Group’s long-term plan to foster its financial business. We aim to make Hyundai Life one of the nation’s top three insurers within 10 years,” an executive from Hyundai Card said, asking not to be named.

Given that it was incorporated into Hyundai Motor Group, Hyundai Life is expected to see a fast growth for a short period in a couple of areas, particularly the retirement pension segment. If Hyundai takes over another mid-size insurer in the coming years, its insurance unit is expected to emerge as a major player in the market.

Together with Hyundai Motor’s move, the launch of Nonghyup Life Insurance, the insurance arm of Nonghyup Financial Group, which made a debut on March 2, is also posing a threat to the dominance of the top three players.

Nonghyup Life is currently the fourth largest life insurer with 35.3 trillion won in total assets, only behind Samsung (155.2 trillion won), Korea (67.2 trillion won) and Kyobo (60.7 trillion won). Nonghyup ranks the fourth in assets but it is dominating the big three in terms of branch networks.

The new insurer can take advantage of a total of some 5,600 NH Financial Group’s sales outlets ― 1,172 for NH Bank and 4,473 affiliates in provincial areas, which is nearly seven times that of branches for Samsung Life.

“I don’t think that entries by Hyundai and Nonghyup will have huge impact on the hierarchy in the short-term but in the long term, they will emerge as a game changer for the industry,” an industry expert said, asking not to be named.

“I expect that the ongoing transition will eventually change the industry landscape, bringing the era of the big five insurers in the coming decade with Hyundai Life and NH Nonghyup joining the top league,” he added.



관련 한글 기사


‘2012년,’ 보험업계 지각변동의 서막

_ ING, 동양생명 M&A로 업계 판도변화 불가피
_ KB, ING 코리아에 초점; 삼성생명은 ING해외에 관심
_ 현대차, 현대라이프 업계 선두권으로 키울 계획

보험업계는 시장 점유율이나 고객측면에서 변화가 어려워 가장 보수적인 산업으로 여겨진다. 지난 20년간 한국 생보업계는 삼성생명, 대한생명, 교보생명 등의 세 회사에 의해서 지배되어 왔다.

오랜 동안 지속되어 온 과점 체제는 당분간 지속 될 것으로 보인다. 하지만 2012년이 이러한 과점구조를 깰 시발점이 될 수 있을 한 해가 될 것으로 전망된다.

우선, 중형 규모의 ING 생명과 동양생명의 M&A가 진행되고 있다. 누가 인수하던 간에 업계순위 및 시장 점유율 등 시장재편이 예상된다. 특히 농협보험의 출범은 업계 지각변동을 가속화 시킬 것으로 전망된다. 외부적인 요인으로는 국내 금융지주사들의 비은행 부문 강화와 현대차 그룹의 금융업 강화가 중장기적으로 보험업계 순위 변동에 영향을 미칠 것으로 보인다.

“지난 15년간 빅3가 시장을 지배해 왔습니다. 저는 이 구도가 변할 것으로 생각하고 올해가 그 시작이 될 것으로 봅니다,” 보스턴 컨설팅 그룹 서울 사무소의 이원석 파트너는 이처럼 말했다

“5-7년 안에 다양한 채널을 통해 A에서 Z까지 모든 서비스를 제공하는 메이저 생명 보험사가 추가로 나올 것으로 봅니다. 소형사들은 고객 맞춤형 상품에 특화 할 것으로 생각합니다.”

2011 회계연도 첫 3분기 수입보험료 누적 기준으로 삼성생명은 26.8프로의 점유율을 차지하며 선두를 달리고 있고 대한이 13.6프로, 교보가 11.3프로 그 뒤를 따르고 있다. 4위권에는 그보다 훨씬 뒤처진 4-5프로대의 점유율로 ING, 미래에셋, 신한, 동양 등이 자리하고 있다.

현재 시장에서 가장 관심을 가지고 있는 사항은 ING, 동양생명 M&A와 더불어 KB 금융, 현대차의 움직임이다. KB 지주 어윤대 회장은 ING Korea에 큰 관심을 보이고 있다.

“4월 초에 ING가 information memerandum을 보내는 것으로 알고 있습니다. 그것을 받게 되면 구체적으로 검토할 생각입니다. 가장 큰 이슈는 가격입니다,” KB 어회장은 비즈니스포커스 (BusinessFocus) 와 전화 인터뷰에서 위와 같이 밝혔다.

“물론 ING Korea 인수에 관심이 있습니다. ING 한국만 분리 매각한다면 단독으로 인수를 추진할 것입니다. 하지만 ING Asia 오퍼레이션 전체를 매각한다면 컨소시엄 구성을 고려해 볼 생각입니다. 저희가 단독으로 모두 인수할 여력이 되지는 않습니다.”

현대차의 보험시장 진출도 눈에 띈다. 최근 업계 17위권인 녹십자 생명을 인수하고 현대라이프로개명했다. 업계 big 3로키우겠다는 포부이다. 현재 현대차 그룹은 건설과 금융을 차세대 동력으로 선정해 집중 지원하고 있다.

“녹십자 생명인수는 그룹차원에서 진행되고 있는 금융부문 사업 강화의 연장성산에서 생각하면 됩니다. 시간은 걸리겠지만 10년 안에 업계 3위를 목표로 하고 있습니다,” 익명을 요구한 회사 관계자는 이와 같이 말했다.

일부 전문가는 향후 10년 안에 생보업계 빅5 체제가 도래할 것으로 전망한다.

“현대차와 농협의 영향이 단기적으로 업계 순위에 영향을 줄거라 보지는 않습니다. 하지만 장기적으로는 업계 판도를 바꾸어 놀 거라 생각합니다,” 익명을 요구한 보험회사 임원은 이같이 말했다.

“현대라이프와 농협생명이 기존의 빅3를 위협하며 새롭게 빅5 체제를 만들어 갈 것으로 봅니다.”

영문기사 및 한글정리: 코리아타임스 비즈니스포커스 (BusinessFocus) 에디터 김재경


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